Bitcoin 250,000 USD, how far are we from that?

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Written by: AlertforalphaCompilation: Vernacular Blockchain $250,000 Bitcoin - Sounds crazy, right? But some staunch bulls have put forward this number, and they have charts to support it. Here’s why this is not just a fantasy. 1. M2 Money Surge - Liquidity Tsunami The global M2 money supply is surging and will not stop in the short term. According to Real Vision analysis, the global liquidity wave will continue until 2026. This means that the four-year cycle may be broken. Don't expect a timely peak in October this year. If the funds continue to flow, BTC could reach $250,000 by next spring. 2. High-yield bonds - No panic, no problem Bitcoin bull Tom Lee pointed out that the high-yield bond market—an indicator of financial crises—has not shown signs of panic. Government bonds are somewhat volatile, but high-yield bonds are calm. This is not a signal of a crash. If the bond market isn't panicking, you don't have to panic either. 3. V-Shaped Recovery Probability - History is on the Side of Bulls Interestingly, since 1950, out of 18 major downturns, 17 have seen a V-shaped rapid recovery, achieving a success rate of 94%. If you think the market will crash directly, you are going against history. 4. Business Cycle Bottom - We are at a trough The market peaks at the top of the business cycle, not at the bottom. We are still in the "bad, scary" phase of the cycle. This is good news for the bulls. Once the cycle flips, the bull market will come. 5. The technical model points to a higher level. Technical analysis also supports a rise: Power law chart: baseline of $150,000 by the end of 2025, reaching $250,000 by 2028.Pi cycle top: currently around $160,000, but could rise to $250,000 with sustained increases.Gold ratio multiplier: conservatively estimated at 160,000 USD, with slight extension reaching up to 250,000 USD.Fibonacci extension: If history repeats itself, the target is between 215,000 and 250,000 dollars. 6. Institutions are still hoarding coins Don't forget the big players. Institutions like BlackRock, Fidelity, and MicroStrategy are still buying Bitcoin in large quantities. There are even rumors that the U.S. government is considering including BTC in its strategic reserves. You wouldn't want to hop on the train just as it's leaving, would you? 7. Adjust your mindset - this is a long-term battle Yes, there will be "violent, disgusting callbacks" along the way. You'll feel like it's all over – and then the price skyrockets. On the way to $250,000, there will be countless newbies who will be liquidated. Don't be one of them. Summary - Keep going Bottom line? Ignore the noise, disregard the bears, and stay focused. If you are a long-term player, a $250,000 Bitcoin is not only possible—it is within reach.