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Imagine if the Fed actually did cut rates by 3pts
Biggest rate cut before that was in March 2020, and that was 1pt
$BTC went 15X over the following year
A 3pt cut would trigger a massive short-term rally:
- S&P would go over 7k
- Gold would go over 5k/oz
- Bitcoin would go to 250k
However the big difference now is that the economy is already overheated, rather than in 2020 when it was dying b/c of Covid
Inflation would go sky high, and the Fed would be forced to roll things back
$BTC would probably print a blow-off top and pullback -50% or more, signalling the end of the current cycle
Would be max chaos
Popcorn ready 🍿