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Aug 18, 2025, 10:00 – Aug 22, 2025, 16:00 (UTC)
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If interest rates are not raised after September, the currency price will basically not rise again. Some people don't understand this logic. Let me give you an example to make it easier to understand.
Starting from raising interest rates by 25 basis points in March last year, and raising interest rates by 75 basis points in November, it is equivalent to your company losing 250,000 per month to 750,000 in November, and November is the lowest point. Starting to raise interest rates by 50 basis points in December, it is analogous that your business loss has dropped to 500,000, which means that it has started to go up and has a good start. The last interest rate increase of 25 basis points in July this year means that your company has gradually shrunk from a loss of 750,000 last year to 250,000. This is going up all the way, and your company is starting to improve. If you do not raise interest rates in September, it means that your business has already started to break even. Before this step, it is positive macroscopically. However, keeping the interest rate unchanged after September, without raising or lowering the interest rate, means that your company breaks even every month, does not make money, and does not make a profit, which is bad news. This negative interest will be maintained until one month before the first interest rate cut.
No more interest rates, does it mean that all the bad news is good? It just means you're thinking too much.