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The dangerous atmosphere after the frenzy - Bitcoin violence V against 50,000 dollars
On the night of the passage of the Bitcoin ETF on January 11, when the market violence rising to 48,000, there was a bullish voice.
In just 12 days, the violence dropped by $10,000, and people shouted a scam bubble.
However, with the Spring Festival, perhaps feeling the power of the Oriental Dragon, the Long Wick Candle broke through 40,000 US dollars of Bitcoin, and the backhand was within a month (28 days), the violence rising to 53,000, and sighed everywhere, the eternal cow is coming, this is the real digital gold.
40 days, like a world away.
This circle is like that, you even suspect that it is the same group of people who switch so quickly from despair and fanaticism.
On the eve of the passage of the ETF, until 10,000 points fell below 40,000, I shared my ideas with my friends in advance (you can turn them over by yourself), it can be said that the Market Maker completely followed this trend and played with people's hearts fiercely.
It's not that I want to say that I have Long awesome, I also came over like this, I know too well how retail investors who trade without any training and only rely on primitive instincts will converge in front of the Market Maker, I know too well that once human nature is in this most primitive hunting ground, there is no comfort, all weaknesses, greed, fear, conformity, uncertainty, loss aversion, anchoring effect, etc., will be multiplied.
It's a virgin land that has never been fully explored, and like the Great West of the United States, it has the most valuable gold and is full of pitfalls.
Sometimes I care too much about short-term trends, it's like watching magic, you can't get too close to the magician's hand, the farther away you are, the more you can see.
At 39500, I shouted Long times that I could get on the bus, or at least half a position in my hand, and the Bearish Traders here let most of the chips fight back, and the purpose of the Market Maker was achieved.
Then all the way up, people are getting more and more fanatical, I have been silent, because people can't listen to any voice when they are fanatical, everyone's optimism has become a hive, rolling everyone's consensus together, everyone shouts, eternal cow, forever up, no more chance to get on the bus, as if this will make themselves more fake safe.
Simply, I won't say anything.
It wasn't until 52,000 that hundreds of messages a day began to be sent to groups that had disappeared before.
Long people like fundamentals, and Long people like technicals.
In my opinion, people's hearts are the essence of the market.
In some places, points and prices are not so important, and it is important to which number can cohesion and break consensus.
Looking back, in terms of the most basic trend line, Bitcoin broke through the rising trend line twice in the early stage, which is the fake news and true news passed by the ETF.
Then it took advantage of the frenzy to reverse directly, and then reversed again with fear, and now, the integer number of 5 has been broken.
Is there a difference between 50000 and 49999?
For people's hearts, the difference is huge.
It is enough to create another fanatical Consensus.
I already smell the danger, and the next place where we get on the car, I can't say Long, please refer yourself to the key position of the entire speed resistance line in 2023, you will find the answer.
Like the passage of gold ETFs, the future of Bitcoin is likely to go a round of about 7 years of long bulls, the key to our counterattack is to accompany the wonderful narrative opportunities around us (there are already inscriptions \ AI two, what is next, I have a high probability of answering), and then in 2030, completely anchor the stored value function of gold, its fluctuations become stable, the market becomes mature, but at the same time accompanied by the disappearance of the last dividend.
Look outside, according to Brother 7, there is a high probability that the Middle East Yankees and Great Britain will end, and if so, it will be another once-in-a-lifetime opportunity.