The Fed maintained the interest rate at its meeting on July 31, 2025, and set a record for the first time in 30 years with two board members voting against it. Powell maintained a hawkish stance, and the market's expectations for a rate cut have cooled. The US Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) data to be released tonight is highly anticipated and may affect Bitcoin's price movement and the Fed's future decisions.

This afternoon at 16:00, AiCoin will conduct a live broadcast on "Three Tricks of Coin Rubbing", sharing solid and steady Crypto Assets investment strategies, including funding fee Arbitrage, DCA in high Fluctuation markets, and custom indicator analysis, suitable for all investors. You are welcome to make an appointment to watch and enjoy member discounts.

1. Powell stated that the labor market is solid, but the path for interest rate cuts is not predetermined.
On July 31, "Fed Whisperer" Nick Timiraos posted on social media that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell took a "strong defensive stance" regarding whether to cut interest rates in September. When asked the leading question "What circumstances would trigger a rate cut in September?" Powell responded: "I won't provide a specific answer. We need to observe the evolution of the data; there are multiple possibilities. We will make decisions based on comprehensive data analysis and risk assessment." As the Potomac Research Company often says: If we are hungry, we will naturally eat.
2. The White House will release a digital asset report at 2:30 AM today.
According to Crypto In America, the White House is set to release an important digital asset report today at 2:30 PM (ET), which is 2:30 AM Beijing time on July 31.

Coin Selection Tool: AiCoin - PC Desktop - Home - Popular Rankings - open interest
Screening criteria: 1H Holdings change is positive, 4H Holdings change is positive, 24H Holdings change is positive
24H price change: positive and less than 10%
Predictive analysis: The open interest is increasing throughout the period, indicating a capital influx. The current increase is in a positive trend and relatively small, less than 10%, with a high probability of rising in the future.
Filter results:
TRX
Prediction: There is still significant room for growth.

This afternoon at 15:00, the AiCoin Research Institute will discuss how to follow the "micro strategy" layout in a group chat live stream to capture short-term fluctuations and enhance operational efficiency through Grid Trading strategies. Whether you're a Newbie or a Crypto Veteran, you can gain valuable information and strategies to help better understand the Crypto Assets market. Don't miss it!

1. The Federal Reserve Board of Governors was absent from the monetary policy meeting for personal reasons, and the voting committee temporarily decreased to 11 members.
According to foreign media, the Fed stated that Federal Reserve Board Governor Cooke will be absent from this week's two-day July policy meeting due to personal matters. This may mean that only 11 FOMC members will vote on this week's policy decisions instead of the usual 12. Although it is expected that Fed Governors Waller and Bowman may become the two dissenters supporting a rate cut this month, the committee should still support maintaining the interest rate unchanged by an absolute majority. According to Fed policy, if a Federal Reserve Bank president is absent from voting, other presidents can participate as substitutes. However, there are no substitutes for Board members.
2. The China-U.S. economic and trade talks promote the extension of tariffs and deepen economic and trade relations.
On July 30, Li Chenggang, the international trade representative and deputy minister of the Ministry of Commerce of China, stated on the 29th that in the past day

The AiCoin Research Institute will hold a live broadcast today at 16:00 to analyze the trend of market maker funds flowing into Ethereum (ETH), discussing market dynamics and investment strategies. The broadcast is suitable for both new and experienced investors, providing information and discounts. Everyone is welcome to participate.

The US and Europe have reached a tariff agreement to eliminate market uncertainty and promote investment confidence; the probability of a Fed rate cut in September is rising; Fushi Financial has applied for a virtual asset license; a US business delegation will visit China to restart negotiations; Chinese police have cracked a Bitcoin money laundering case; SUI tokens are about to be unlocked; Trump emphasizes the need to adjust tariff authority; experts call for strengthened regulation of stablecoins.

1. Trump says Powell may be preparing to cut interest rates.
July 25, President Trump: Yesterday, Powell gave the impression that he might be ready to cut interest rates. -Original text
2. The ancient giant whale has digested 68,000 BTC out of 80,000.
According to Yu Jin monitoring, since July 15th when the ancient giant whale entrusted Galaxy Digital to sell 80,000 BTC, approximately 68,000 BTC have been transferred in batches to exchanges and independent addresses. Among them, 14,000 BTC entered Binance, 8,975 BTC entered Bitstamp, 7,420 BTC entered Bybit, 7,150 BTC entered OKX, and about 30,400 BTC were transferred to multiple independent addresses (possibly for OTC buyers). Currently, about 12,000 BTC (approximately $1.38 billion) remain unsold, and the expected remaining portion is likely to have limited impact on market liquidity. - Original text
3. Whale "Set 10 first"

Bybit has launched a contract coupon airdrop of up to 500 USDT for AiCoin users. Simply sign up and deposit 100 USDT, and trade 500 USDT to receive it. The event lasts for 67 days, and after participating, you can receive and use the coupon in the welfare center. Seize the market opportunity to increase your profits!

1. U.S. President Trump stated that he has not pressured Powell, but there are already follow candidates for his replacement.
U.S. President Trump: Discussed interest rate issues with Powell, it was productive, and the atmosphere was not tense. Powell's relationship with Senator Scott is more strained. Dismissing Powell would be a significant move but unnecessary. I already have candidates to succeed Powell in mind, possibly three, and have not put pressure on Powell. - Original text
2, The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 95.9%, and the probability of a rate cut in September is 58.4%.
According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping the interest rate unchanged in July is 95.9%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 4.1%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate in September is 39.2%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 58.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 2.4%. -Original text
3. The number of initial jobless claims in the United States fell to 2 last week.