Gold and Bitcoin in the Global Currency System Reform
Recently, the global capital markets have experienced significant volatility, with the appreciation of the yen triggering a shift in carry trade, the VIX index soaring, and even gold experiencing a slight pullback due to liquidity shocks. Bitcoin has also seen a sharp decline alongside risk assets. Although this seems contradictory to the "twin" nature of gold and Bitcoin, we still believe that as the new international monetary system accelerates its evolution, the twin relationship between Bitcoin and gold will become even closer.
Since 1970, the price of gold (against the US dollar) has undergone three major upward cycles. The 1970s were the true "golden era," with the maximum increase of gold against the US dollar exceeding 17 times. During this period, the Bretton Woods system collapsed, the US dollar was detached from gold, and the two oil crises and geopolitical tensions highlighted gold's value preservation and safe-haven attributes. After the 1980s, the price of gold entered a consolidation phase, weakening in the 1990s, which was related to global inflation being controlled and economic.